1998 Progress Report

Lion spatial socio-ecology: the effect of habitat on lion group dynamics.

Author: Debbie Weldon

School of Life and Environmental Sciences

University of Natal

Durban, 4001

South Africa

Masters thesis

Supervisor: Dr R.H. Slotow

University of Natal (Durban), School of Life and Environmental Sciences

Co-supervisor: Dr M.G.L. Mills

National Parks Board, Skukuza

Summary

During 1998 the capturing of the ranger returns (lion sightings forms) by volunteer UND students was initiated. This continued during the December student vacations and will be completed by mid January 1999. Data on the lions sighted by the Kruger National Park (KNP) rangers were captured from ranger diaries for the years dating 1962 to 1985, 1986 and 1988. Computerised diaries were obtained for the years dating 1987, 1989 - 1997. Lion sightings forms for completion by the night drive students were initially introduced to Skukuza in January 1998. After monitoring the success thereof, i.e. the response of the students as well as the number of sightings recorded, the forms were introduced to the remaining camps where students are based. Two private camps, Shimuwini and Sirheni, were also approached with regard to recording lion sightings as the managers of these camps are familiar with the lions in their respective areas. The data from these two camps will be used in conjunction with data from Gus Mills, Paul Funston and Ian Whyte for ground-truthing the results based on the historical and night drive data. Aerial prey census data has been obtained for the years 1980 to 1993.

Aim

To understand the ecological processes shaping lion spatial demography.

Objectives

  1. To determine the effect of habitat structure on lion spatial ecology.
  2. To determine the effect of prey availability or presence of major lion prey species on lion group dynamics.
  3. To determine the effect of rainfall on lion group dynamics through its influence on prey species' movement patterns and distribution.

General Methods

Ranger returns contained information on lions recorded by the natural and sometimes, the district rangers. The forms date from 1957 to 1985. These forms have been captured by volunteer undergraduate students, with a total of 40512 lines of data captured (Table 1). The division of data between the stations is detailed in table 1.

Table 1:

Lion sightings data has been captured from the ranger returns of 23 stations throughout the Kruger Park. The number of forms varies between stations as the stations were established at different times. The earliest returns date back to 1957 and they end in 1985.

Station

Number of data lines captured

Houtboschrand

413

Kingfisherspruit

3506

Klipkoppies

1253

Krokodilbrug

2821

Letaba

2573

Lower Sabie

462

Mahlangene

1356

Malelane

3968

Mooiplaas

315

Nwanedzi

1968

Olifants

369

Pafuri

473

Phalaborwa

814

Pretoriuskop

5817

Punda Maria

569

Satara

1577

Shangoni

1330

Shingwedzi

2397

Table 1 continued

Station

Number of data lines captured

Skukuza

2145

Stolznek

494

Tshokwane

2941

Vlakteplaas

210

Woodlands

77

Others

2664

Total

40512

The ranger stations were established at different times and some were closed or merged with others, e.g. Klipkoppies no longer exists as a separate station. The data obtained from these diaries varies between stations according to the ranger in charge. In certain cases, the lion sightings reported in the diary will also appear on the ranger returns. Data on lion sightings has been captured from the diaries for the years dating January 1963 until December 1985 for all the stations listed in table 2.

Table 2:

Lion sightings data has been captured from the ranger diaries for the years dating 1965 to 1988.

Station

Number of data lines captured

Houtboschrand

457

Kingfisherspruit

918

Klipkoppies

74

Krokodilbrug

352

Letaba

335

Lower Sabie

378

Mahlangene

274

Malelane

514

Mooiplaas

127

Nwanedzi

685

Olifants

99

Pafuri

109

Table 2 continued

Station

Number of data lines captured

Phalaborwa

129

Pretoriuskop

268

Punda Maria

283

Satara

1484

Shangoni

194

Shingwedzi

315

Skukuza

549

Stolznek

177

Tshokwane

631

Vlakteplaas

179

Woodlands

118

Mixed

405

Total

9054

Chapter 1

Aim

To determine the effect of habitat structure on lion spatial ecology.

1998:

  1. I have divided the KNP into four habitat types. A map was created by resampling the Landscap map received from KNP to create Landrsmp. As Landscap, and hence Landrsmp, was based on Gertenbach's habitat map of KNP (1982), the 35 landscapes of Landrsmp were reclassed to create a habitat map with four habitat categories. These four habitat categories were chosen on the basis of vegetation/habitat structure, namely 1: Mountainous, 2: Woodland, 3: Thickets and 4: Open tree savanna.

Habitat 1, the Mountainous areas included landscapes 2, 29 and 31 from Gertenbach's classification (1982). Areas 29 and 31 represent the Lebombo south and north respectively, while area 2 represents the Malelane mountain bushveld area. These 3 habitats provide a similar habitat in that they are mountainous with stony soils and their vegetation is described as dense bush savanna to more open areas in the bottomlands.

The Woodland areas, habitat 2, are represented by landscapes 3, 6, 8,10,11, 14-16, 18, 22-24, 26-28, 30, 32-34. Woodland was used to define areas of relatively open to dense bush with moderate to dense field cover.

Habitat 3, the Thickets are represented by landscapes 4, 7, 10, 11, 13, 20, 21. Unlike woodlands that are more open, thickets are areas of extremely dense bush/trees. The field layer in these areas is generally quite sparse as a result of the dense woody component.

The Open tree savanna areas, habitat 4, are represented by landscapes 1, 9, 12, 17, 19, 22, 23, 25, 35. These areas can be described as open habitats with a few scattered trees. The field layer ranges in height from 1-2 m, however in landscape 35, the field layer is relatively sparse.

Differentiation was not made on a plant species level as this should be accounted for by the differences in prey densities in areas falling into the same category. Each grid cell (1 minē) was allocated a number (e.g. 1/2/3/4) according to the dominant habitat type.

Table 3:

The habitat map was created by reclassifying the 35 habitats defined by Gertenbach (1983) into 4 categories, namely 1) mountainous, 2) woody, 3) thickets and 4) open tree savanna.

Gertenbach's habitat classification

Project habitat classification

1. Lower sour bushveld of Pretoriuskop

4

2. Malelane mountain bushveld

1

3. Combretum collinum/ Combretum zeyheri woodland

2

4. Thickets of the Sabie and Crocodile Rivers

3

5. Mixed Combretum spp. Terminalia sericea woodland

2

6. Combretum spp./Colophospermum mopane woodland

3

7. Olifants River Rugged veld

3

8. Phalaborwa sandveld

2

9. Colophospermum mopane savanna on basic soils

4

10. Letaba River Rugged veld

3

11. Tsende sandveld

3

12. Colophospermum mopane/ Acacia nigrescens savanna

4

13. Acacia welwitschii thickets on Karoo sediments

3

14. Kumana sandveld

2

15. Colophospermum mopane forest

2

16. Punda Maria sandveld on cave sandstone

2

17. Sclerocarya caffra/ Acacia nigrescens savanna

4

18. Dwarf Acacia nigrescens savanna

2

19. Thornveld on Gabbro

4

20. Bangu Rugged veld

3

21. Combretum spp./ Acacia spp. Rugged veld

3

22. Combretum spp./ Colophospermum mopane Rugged veld

4

23. Colophospermum mopane shrubveld on Basalt

4

24. Colophospermum mopane shrubveld on Gabbro

2

Table 3 continued

Gertenbach's habitat classification

Project habitat classification

25. Adansonia digitata/ Colophospermum mopane Rugged veld

4

26. Colophospermum mopane shrubveld on Calcrete

2

27Mixed Combretum spp. / Colophospermum mopane woodland

2

28. Limpopo/ Levubu floodplains

2

29. Lebombo South

1

30. Pumbe sandveld

2

31. Lebombo North

1

32. Nwambia sandveld

2

33. Pterocarpus rotundifolius/ Combretum collinum woodland

2

34. Punda Maria sandveld on Waterberg sandstone

2

35. Salvadora angustifolia floodplains

4

Kruger National Park:

Figure 1: Map of structural habitat classifications.

  1. The lion sightings forms returned by the night drive students have been used to carry out a test of the methods described in the project proposal.

Methods

The latitude and longitude of each of the 226 sightings recorded from January until 6 October 1998 was read off a 1:250 000 map. The latitude/longitude locations were used to create vector files in the GIS program, Idrisi. The vector files were rasterised i.e. used to create an image file of the sightings. The sightings (lion variables, see below) occurring in each grid cell on the Idrisi habitat map were averaged over three-month periods (January - March, April - June, July - 6 October) to reduce pseudoreplication. The resulting variables were compared between habitats using ANOVA.

The following variables were compared between the four habitats using ANOVA:

Results

Ninety-eight sightings of adult male lions were made from January until 6 October 1998. Once averaged, the resulting 76 sightings were compared using ANOVA. Although the results were not significant (ANOVA, F3,72 = 0.764; P = 0.518), there was a greater range in group size in habitat one (figure 2). However, there were generally few sightings in this habitat type, therefore this could not be considered a significant result (four, figure 2).

Adult females were seen 144 times from January until 6 October 1998. The analysis of the data, the sightings averaged to 95, were not significant (ANOVA, F3,91 = 0.212; P = 0.888). There is little variation in group size between the habitats. Although it is slightly greater in the mountainous areas (habitat 1), this is also the habitat in which the least sightings occurred (six, Figure 3).

Subadult males were reported for 50 drives. The averaged sightings (41) compared between habitats did not give a significant result (ANOVA, F3,36 = 0.229; P = 0.875). However, most of the sightings occurred in the thicket areas (24 in habitat 3, Figure 4), while only 1 sighting was made in habitat 1 (mountainous, Figure 4) and 2 in habitat 2 (woody, Figure 4). There is slightly greater variation in group size in habitat 4 (open tree savanna, ten sightings) than in habitat 3 (thickets, 24 sightings, Figure 4).

Subadult females and large female cubs were seen on 40 occasions and averaged to 32. The results of this comparison were also not significant (ANOVA, F3,28 = 0.827; P = 0.490). There was little variation between habitats three and four in which the majority of the sightings occurred (22 and 8, respectively, Figure 5).

Figures

 

Eleven sightings of large male cubs were recorded, of which one occurred in habitat one, eight in habitat three and two in habitat four. These were averaged to seven sightings. The results of the comparison were not significant (ANOVA, F2,4 = 0.286; P = 0.766), however, this is to be expected with such a small sample size.

Small cubs were recorded on 19 drives. Once averaged (18 cases), the comparison between habitats showed a significant result (ANOVA, F3,14 = 3.562; P = 0.042). Habitat three (thickets) showed the greatest variation, although this was the habitat with the least sightings (three, Figure 6). Habitat one (mountainous) shows a greater variation than habitats three (thickets) and four (open tree savanna), which are quite similar in variation (Figure 6).

The majority of sightings were recorded in habitats three and four (thickets and open tree savanna, respectively) while few sightings were recorded in the mountainous areas. The 226 sightings that were recorded in total over the nine-month period were averaged to 138 cases. The comparison of total lion group size was not found to be significant (ANOVA, F3,134 = 1.024; P = 0.384). There is however, some variation in the group sizes occurring in the four habitats (Figure 7).

1999:

  1. In conjunction with veterinary services, who are monitoring the lion TB situation, those students showing interest in the lion monitoring program will be asked to complete identikits for the lions in their area. These identikits will be useful for future individual studies while also providing me with more definite details concerning numbers and group compositions in certain areas. This together with information obtained from previous studies will act as a basis for ground-truthing the historical data from the ranger reports and diaries.
  2. Databases of the combined lion sightings from the ranger reports and diaries will be completed and analysis carried out as stated in the project proposal.
  3. Although the night drive forms will be collected throughout 1999, only the forms dating until 30 June 1999 will be used in the analysis for my thesis. The further forms will increase the sample size and thereby improve on the validity of the results.

Chapter 2

Aim

To determine the effect of prey availability or presence of major lion prey species on lion group dynamics.

1998:

Aerial census data on the major prey species (e.g. buffalo, wildebeest, zebra, waterbuck, warthog, impala and giraffe) of lions has been obtained from KNP for 1980-1993. Previous to 1985 the game was counted from the ground and recorded on census forms that varied in form from 1950 to 1984. Partial aerial surveys were carried out in the late 1970s and early 1980s in conjunction with the ground counts. However, the whereabouts of the information prior t 1980 is currently unknown.

1999:

  1. Locate and capture remaining partial aerial census data.
  2. The herbivore censuses take place once a year, therefore maps of the lion variables averaged for each grid cell (1 minē) on a yearly basis will be made and the influence of prey presence and abundance thereon tested using ANOVA.

Chapter 3

Aim

To determine the effect of rainfall on lion group dynamics through its influence on prey species' movement patterns and distribution.

1998:

Although rainfall measurements from 22 stations in KNP were recorded on a monthly basis in the ranger diaries, the data has been obtained from the CCWR. The data will be used to create a map of annual rainfall regions over which the lion variables will be overlaid for comparison between the rainfall regions.

1999:

The rainfall data has been obtained from the CCWR will be used to create rainfall maps. The variation in the rainfall will also be calculated.

Short term goals for 1999

Activity

Date

Ranger reports completely captured

31 January 1999

All rainfall data obtained from CCWR and sorted into cycles etc

31 January 1999

Lion sightings captured from computerised ranger diaries

12 February 1999

Completed borehole information received from KNP

28 February 1999

Lion database combining ranger report and diary sightings to be completed, sorted by date and location and lion variables determined

Mid-April 1999

Analysis of data for chapter 1

30 April 1999

Draft of chapter 1

May 1999

Analysis of prey data

May/June 1999

Draft of chapter 2

June/July 1999

Analysis of rainfall data

July 1999

Draft of chapter 3

July/August 1999

Thesis complete

November 1999

References

Gertenbach, W.P.D. 1983 Landscape patterns of the Kruger National Park. Koedoe, 26: 9-121.